The first major piece of co-marketing to come from this
agreement will be on display this afternoon in the $150,000 added Mystic Lake
Derby. If all eight entries make it to
the starting gate the purse will swell to over $160,000, making it the richest
race since the track reopened under current management in 1995.
Here is a closer look at the contenders:
Why Frank (Oliver/Butler) – This lightly raced local
broke his maiden over the slop here at the beginning of the meet but has been
unable to touch the winner’s circle in two consecutive tries, deadheating for
third last out in a $25,000 conditioned claimer in his first turf try. Certainly will be a long shot against these.
Hammers Terror (Stidham/Keith) - This son of Artie
Schiller was last seen only two weeks ago in the $150,000 Toronto Cup at
Woodbine. While he finished 4th
as the favorite, the connections felt that the race didn’t take much out him
and also showed that he may be a bit distance challenged. A mile may be right in his wheelhouse and
this could be a great spot for him.
Delegation (Casse/Bridgmohan) – It’s tough to know what
to make of Delegation. The son of
Speightstown was bred for the turf and is an undefeated two for two at Woodbine. He broke his maiden easily over the turf and
followed that up with an impressive allowance score. It wouldn’t surprise me if he won by 5 or
settled for third in his first real test.
Gung Ho (Maker/Franklin) – The third place finisher in
the Grade 1 Blue Grass stakes, Gung Ho was last seen as the beaten favorite in
the Grade 2 American Turf on Derby Day.
He comes back to the races here in good shape and has been working well
in preparation for his return. He’s the
5/2 morning line favorite but will have his hands full with the two on his
inside.
Tequila Factor (Wilson/Riggs) – Winner of the Tempe
Handicap back in March by daylight, Tequila Factor has not been a factor in his
subsequent 4 races. A tough spot to try
and regain his winning ways.
Corporate Chapel (Mankin/Stevens) – Two tries over the
Canterbury turf this season have yielded a third and a fourth. It is probably a bit much to think he’ll get
his 1st here, though his allowance victory over the dirt two back
was a nice front running effort, albeit over a front-running track.
North of Never (Granitz/Martinez) – A lot of wise guy
rumbling about this one. A very impressive
allowance win last out at Arlington. He
was a beaten by the great Silver Max two starts back in the Arlington Classic,
only missing the second spot by a length and a half after flattening out a
bit. If the cut back in distance is what
was needed, he could surprise as the invader that should have the best post
time odds.
Take Heart (Robertson/Bell) – Never count out the Hall of
Fame duo, especially coming off of two consecutive wins here over the
turf. He’ll be coming hard when the real
running begins but he may be a cut below the top flight in here.
There is definitely some speed in this race. Delegation certainly springs to mind and
Hammers Terror won’t be that far off an early pace, if at all. Even Gung Ho has pace battled in the past. All of this certainly flatters North of Never’s
attempt here. He should be sitting well
enough of the early pace to give him a clear run at the leaders if he’s classy
enough to get past them. The rail is
back to 10 feet so there should be some ability to close in the race and it
looks like things may shape up nicely for the Granitz trainee.
However, while I don’t think that Delegation is going to
be able to wire the field, I also don’t feel that the early pace is going to be
suicidal either. The mile distance may
allow for some quicker fractions than in a race that goes a mile and a
sixteenth or an eighth and while Delegation is bred to get the distance it
remains to be seen if he can while the distance seems to be right in Hammers
Terror’s wheelhouse coming from a trainer that’s not known for bringing back
horses so quickly. If Stidham is
bringing him back in two weeks it’s because the colt has it in him to win
it. I also like the cut back to mile
over the stretch out.
I think the invaders take the first four spots with
Hammers Terror taking home the laurels, a hard charging North of Never picking
up second over a stalking Gung Ho and tiring Delgation.
1.
Hammers Terror
2.
North of Never
3.
Gung Ho
4.
Delegation
4 comments:
Good move, 0 for ever in KY derby picks so start new with new derby :-)
Hope to see you out there.
HA! Everyone is a comedian! I certainly hope not - I'd hate another 0-fer streak; especially at home!
I can be talked off my pick. In fact, you could make a case for any of the four shippers and it would be convincing.
Good luck!
You got one Ted!! Be sure to send a beer the stewards' way!!
Thanks, I'll take it. I think if the infraction happens 100 yards earlier the horse comes down but there was no way the order changes that close to the wire. I believe the offending jockey did get days, however, so the infraction was noted.
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